MH370 Sim Experiments

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In Monday’s blog, I dissected the impact of the under-dressed sim instructor CNN used for its round-the-clock MH370 coverage, but what of the simulator itself? Like many, I assumed the simulator, which looked impressive on camera, was the sort of machine used to train and type rate pilots looking to find a 777 seat. Not quite. As described on its web site, UFly’s B-777 sim is a highly detailed reproduction of the cockpit and systems, but since the 777 is fly-by-wire, how accurate does it replicate the real airplane’s control laws? 

Maybe not so much. I mentioned that one of the interesting things CNN did toward the end of its intense coverage was to replicate what the airplane would do if both engines ran to fuel exhaustion. They even flew the airplane briefly on asymmetric thrust, since one engine would inevitably quit before the other. This was an attempt to illuminate what would happen if the airplane ran out of gas somewhere over the Indian Ocean, with pilots dead or incapacitated.

While Boeing has, understandably, tried to suppress speculation about the MH370 disappearance, sim operators—real, level D sims—all over the world have been experimenting with what-ifs in their multi-million dollar motion boxes. I’ve been corresponding via e-mail with a couple of 777 professionals, one of whom is a training captain for a major airline. This week, he sent me a summary of experiments done by one operator and reproduced by others. Bottom line: “You can throw any straight ahead flight path/impact calculations out the window.”

What this is, really, is not so much a test of the airplane, but of the software that runs it. No one was quite certain how the 777’s control laws would degrade and adjust to the loss of engine thrust and, briefly, electric power, with no human intervention. The results are eye opening.

The basic setup involved programming the sim with MH370s fuel, weight and CG conditions and letting it run out of fuel in track hold and altitude capture. Predictably, one engine flamed out before the other and a feature called TAC for thrust asymmetry compensation automatically applied rudder.

The speed decayed from 325 knots indicated to 245 knots. When the second engine failed, TAC returned the rudder trim to zero. Then the fun started. The autopilot dropped out and the flight controls reverted to direct mode. In the 777, Boeing designed three modes, normal, secondary and direct. Direct can be thought of as the modern equivalent of manual reversion; it gives the pilots direct control authority and strips away any envelope protection.

The sim experiment revealed that after autopilot drop out, the speed came back to 230 knots, but the nose slowly pitched down, eventually reaching 340 knots indicated and a descent rate of 7500 FPM. The bank angle got to 25 degrees.

At that point, the airplane’s ram air turbine, an emergency backup generator, automatically deployed and the copilot’s PFD came back, plus other displays. But the aircraft remained in direct control mode. The 777’s EICAS was peppered with alerts, including one that the APU had failed to start, which it would automatically do after the engine failure. But with no fuel, no APU start.

The airplane then essentially entered a stable, evidently non-damping phugoid with a maxium descent rate of 8000 feet and a pitch excursion range of 9 degrees down to 6 degree up and bank angles between 5 and 25 degrees.  The speed fluctuated between 220 and 340 knots indicated.

The exercise was terminated at 10,000 feet, but there was no reason to believe the phugoid wouldn’t have continued until surface impact. Although these findings are largely academic, I found them interesting nonetheless, especially the autopilot drop out. In the CNN sim clip, the airplane simply picked up a wings-level glide, suggesting to me that either the flight dynamics aren’t well modeled or they didn’t allow the experiment to continue long enough. Either way, it’s inconceivable that the impact would have been survivable, if indeed anyone was still alive to survive it. Whether the type and violence of the impact would have had an effect on surface debris field distribution and thus probability of detection is similarly academic. One theory held that a survivable impact might leave the airplane largely intact and thus less or no surface debris. All we know for sure is that not a trace of the airplane has been found.

And that leads to this disturbing thought. My correspondent has mentioned to me a couple of times of having nightmares about what transpired in that cabin, never mind the cockpit. I’m quite certain he’s not alone and I’m equally certain your imagination is vivid enough to construct a palette of scenarios, so I won’t catalog my own. There’s not much comfort in knowing that we can at least ponder how the airplane might have behaved, but at the moment, with precious little else known, it’s at least something.

Wednesday a.m. addition: CNN shot this background video that offers more information on the simulator.

 

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Comments (16)

I agree Paul, the equations used to simulate flight are only as good as they are specified to be. If the normal "training envelope" of the sim does not include these extremes of unpowered, uncontrolled flight in direct control mode then the results may be meaningless. What training benefit would modeling such a regime provide? Nevertheless, it is interesting to see just what the sim would do.

Posted by: A Richie | April 22, 2014 10:39 AM    Report this comment

Another good blog Paul. Sims, from the FSXs to level Ds, are good systems allowing for step-by-step studies of procedures and interpretations. They assist in understanding operational limits providing the opportunity to pause and to progressively explain a set of circumstances. At best, they remain cost-effective and a good way of preparing for flight but they are no substitute for in flight training. Reflecting on AF447, at times, I question pilot training by airlines.

Posted by: Rafael Sierra | April 22, 2014 11:49 AM    Report this comment

"When the second engine failed, TAC returned the rudder trim to zero. Then the fun started. The autopilot dropped out and the flight controls reverted to direct mode."

I never really though about that, but it makes sense in retrospect, considering Boeing's FBW design has generally centered around theory that the pilots should have the last say.

"The airplane then essentially entered a stable, evidently non-damping phugoid with a maxium descent rate of 8000 feet and a pitch excursion range of 9 degrees down to 6 degree up and bank angles between 5 and 25 degrees. The speed fluctuated between 220 and 340 knots indicated."

This sounds a lot like what happened to United 232 when the aircraft lost all hydraulic power. I would suspect most modern transport airliners would behave similarly (at least, in the case where the control law reverts to a similar direct mode).

I don't suppose the RAT would power the systems that were apparently transmitting the data signals (or rather "I'm still here" pings) used to determine the aircraft's (possible) final position?

Posted by: Gary Baluha | April 22, 2014 3:18 PM    Report this comment

No comment about the SIM Study except to say, you picked the worse of the News W-----es to do an "expose'". CNN carries as much credulity as the Malaysians attempting to act lek they knew and know what they were dong!

Posted by: Charles Peele | April 23, 2014 10:28 AM    Report this comment

Remember the old Jerry Lewis movie where he plays an airline pilot? In one scene he started the engines by pulling the throttles like lawn-mower pull ropes (among other sight gags). That would have fit in perfectly with CNN's nonstop coverage.

Posted by: A Richie | April 23, 2014 11:16 AM    Report this comment

Actually, CNN is loaded with credulity. Credibility, not so much.

Posted by: Paul Bertorelli | April 23, 2014 11:29 AM    Report this comment

"Actually, CNN is loaded with credulity. Credibility, not so much." Foodfight?

Posted by: Rafael Sierra | April 23, 2014 2:34 PM    Report this comment

"CNN...their credibility was, too, damaged by having people on air to engage in baseless speculation about the missing plane."

Posted by: Rafael Sierra | April 23, 2014 2:48 PM    Report this comment

Paul, thanks so much for clearing up the confusion. If Mitch Casado says he was forced to wear the plaid shirts against his will, then by golly I believe him. How can one not of a man/pilot who has bunny rabbits as pets? Thankfully, I was able to concentrate enough on the sim to get the gist.

And considering content with/without distraction, for me, Jeanne Moos and Pamela Brown are excellent reasons to watch CNN.

Posted by: Dave Miller | April 23, 2014 3:32 PM    Report this comment

Incidentally, if you just didn't get enough of the CNN simulator coverage and crave more of the same, the Jerry Lewis movie was the 1965 comedy "The Family Jewels" and the aircraft he flew in was a Ford Tri-Motor (which, also incidentally is pictured just to the right of this posting!)

Posted by: A Richie | April 23, 2014 4:54 PM    Report this comment

"Admit it. We've all done it -- committed a fashion blunder in public. "

However, Mitchell Casado is getting more free press than any CFI I've ever heard of or known. Good for him. Perhaps AVweb or wait, Pamela Brown would like to interview Mr. Casado. One last sim demo. Do the phugoid or something.

Posted by: Rafael Sierra | April 23, 2014 5:37 PM    Report this comment

If pilots just dressed more professionally, all these accidents wouldn't happen and... (stop shaking your head!) aviation would be in better shape!

Posted by: Jason Baker | April 23, 2014 5:44 PM    Report this comment

Sie sind richtig Jason.

Posted by: Rafael Sierra | April 23, 2014 7:31 PM    Report this comment

More interesting surely than CNN's coverage is..

This is just a charade to hide an embarrasing situation, well beyond anything Malaysia could conjure up, ie to bury 370 in the deepest part of the Indian O with it's imagined dying pings. What is the embarrassment to Malaysia?. Is it the civil radar plot of MH370 showing an unidentified target moving at 2,500mph and then stopping? That while MH370 does a few sharp turns, but NOT back, instantly drops to sea level, shoots forward and disappears! Is THIS the information that they cannot release to the public because then they would be the laughing stock as unidentified targets do NOT exist?

There is NO proof MH370 went South. The statement by Inmarsat that they had analysed inmarsat RF signals using doppler shift analysis is a lie. The RF signal is almost certainly not recorded (only the extracted data such as aircraft identity) so there was nothing there to be analysed. That is why Inmarsat had refused to turn up at THEIR briefing.

NO miltary radar plot from Malaysia, Thailand nor Indonesia, nor satellite data has been presented to confirm this large target heading S, or even back over Thailand, S of Phuket. Of interest is that CNN, Al Jazeera, The Indpendent UK , Daily Telegraph UK and Straits Times are blocking all commenters from posting the link to the civil radar plot or even discussion on the plot.

http://www.forbiddenknowledgetv.com/videos/ufosinterdimensionalultraterrestrials/ufo-in-the-radarreadings-of-malaysia-airlines-flight-370.html Ufos and ets? Before you fall down laughing, or uncomfortably want to scream fraud, fake or nutters because nasa, seti and astronomers tell us there are NO ufos under intelligent et control flying around here. google Larry King, CNN, Ufos shut down missile silos in US, UK and USSR.

google Wikipedia. Valentich, Cessna ufo abduction, Melbourne, Australia. (Full radio transcript recorded).

open www.theyfly.com IF this was a ufo/et abduction, they may all be alive, but not coming back anytime soon.

I am a Rtd Airline Training Captain with multiple UFO sightings. In 1972 we carried Govt(?) UFO report forms in our Nav Boxes, (Super VC10s out of Nairobi, Kenya). I am quite comfortable with the ufo phenomena. I was the Pilot Union's rep. at all aircraft accident investigations in the 4 countries that owned the airline. That function was to ensure pilots got a fair hearing, even if deceased.

Posted by: Thomas Turk | April 25, 2014 10:51 PM    Report this comment

Interesting, Thomas. You obviously live beyond the narrow focus of social approval concerning UFO's. Maybe one day this will be a frequent topic on AVweb and other outlets - if we get there, then I will gladly join in and talk about my sightings also, two of which were of the so-called Phoenix Lights over the past three years.

If MH370 reappears one day as it disappeared, as you offer, it will be astonishing and monumental in the history of homo sapiens.

Posted by: Dave Miller | April 27, 2014 3:08 PM    Report this comment

I can't find the reference at the moment, but a Reason Foundation poll evidently found that 5 percent of Americans believe MH 370 was abducted by aliens. I would love to plumb the depths of that 5 percent to see how many cheeks were measurably dented by tongues.

Posted by: Paul Bertorelli | April 29, 2014 10:06 AM    Report this comment

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