September 22, 1996 Landing an Iced-Up Airframe |
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If you fly in honest-to-god weather, sooner or later you'll have to do it. Here's a survival guide from a 12,000-hour veteran test pilot.
September 22, 1996
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Leo Janssens |
This article originally appeared in December 1994 issue of IFR MAGAZINE and is reprinted by permission of Belvoir Publications.
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As the prime winter icing season once again approaches, many of
us will be confronted with this sinister hazard. Every year, almost
without fail, there are between 30 and 40 accidents involving
icing, about half of them fatal. As we've pointed out in previous
issues, by heeding the pireps and taking decisive action at the
first sign of ice, the icing risk is manageable, especially if
you accept the notion that on some winter days, you'll simply
have to cancel your flying. The risk of serious icing will be
too great.
But what about on those gray, overcast days when ice may or may
not be present and the forecasts and pireps offer no useful information?
Sure, you can always cancel when cold clouds are present or plan
your flight to avoid potentially ice bearing layers, but how realistic
is that? If you fly during the winter at all, sooner or later,
you'll pick up a load of ice. Maybe a lot of ice. The question
then becomes: Now what?
In this article, we'll examine some of the aerodynamic considerations
of flying and landing an iced up airframe. But don't get the impression
that I'm suggesting these techniques make it safe to fly in ice.
Far from it. I'm offering these observations strictly as a survival
guide if you have to put an ice-laden airplane onto a runway some
day.
The Great Unknown
Most pilots have heard this caution: When your airplane is carrying
ice, you're a test pilot. If you've accumulated a lot of experience
in flying iced up airplanes — whether certified for known icing
or not — you might not take this warning too seriously. After all,
if you've had ice dozens or even hundreds of times and survived
it, the warning must surely be an overstatement. Maybe. But I
wouldn't count on it.
Permit me a war story. In my flying career, I've been both a giver
and a receiver of airframe and engine ice. Back in my Air Force
test pilot days, around 1971, I flew the KC-135 water spray tanker,
which we used to douse various airplanes to study the effect of
airframe icing. The object was to control the amount of ice build-up
up on the receiver aircraft to determine its flying characteristics
and to see how well it would shed ice. Even though these tests
were done under carefully controlled conditions and flown by real
test pilots, the results were sometimes unpredictable.
We had been asked to fly the spray tanker over to England, to
help the Brits with icing certification of the Concorde. Our flight
trials were going well until about the fifth flight, when the
British team was trying to determine the maximum amount of ice
the engines could handle. We were at 16,000 feet, with the water
spray giving them a good load right into the number two engine
when suddenly, we heard, "Uh-oh, we have a slight problem
here in the Concorde."
The engine had stalled and surged and the crew decided to shut
it down. A ground inspection revealed several of the compressor
guide vanes had sheared off and gone through the engine. Even
25 years ago, that was a $2 million engine and I doubt if the
consortium had budgeted for that. The Brits decided they'd had
enough icing tests, thank you. They later certified the airplane
using natural icing. The point is, the outcome of that icing test
was entirely unexpected, even though it was done under controlled
conditions. If you pick up more than a trace of ice, the same
may be true for your airplane.
Act Fast
Obviously, the best way to avoid an unpredictable outcome is to
stay out of ice in the first place. When the pireps confirm that
it's widely present, stay home, drive or go commercial if your
only other choice is to fly an unprotected airplane. If you do
encounter ice that continues to accumulate, don't hang around
waiting for it to stop accreting. Formulate a plan right now.
A couple of years ago, when we reviewed 170 icing accidents for
an article, we found that many pilots underestimated both the
rate of accretion and how it would affect aircraft performance.
In more than a few of these accidents, pilots reported icing to
ATC then declined to divert or declare an emergency until it was
too late. The accident data strongly suggests that once ice has
accumulated to the point that the airplane will no longer maintain
altitude, the chances of making it safely to an on-airport landing
are poor. Given that the majority of icing accidents seem to
involve experienced pilots, it's reasonable to assume that pilots
fall into the trap of concluding that one icing event is just
like the next. The facts suggest otherwise. Ice — and its effects
on airframe and engine — is extremely variable. Just because you've
survived 99 icing events, doesn't mean you'll survive the next.
Resist the instinct to tell the controller you don't have a problem.
If you've got ice, you've got a problem.
Drag and AOA
Even pilots with lots of experience flying in ice don't always
understand the aerodynamic penalties of hauling around a load
of it. Ice adds both weight and, more significantly, tremendous
drag; cleaner airfoils on high performance airplanes may be more
efficient collectors of ice and will suffer more from its effects.
Attaching meaningful numbers to the damage ice does to lift and
drag is difficult, since it varies with airplane and airfoil.
However, icing research done by Dennis Newton and reported in
his excellent book Severe Weather Flying, revealed that typically,
even a small buildup can reduce the maximum coefficient of lift
by 30 percent. This has the effect of decreasing the stall angle
of attack, which translates to a higher stall speed. Newton says
that even a 1/8-inch buildup raised the clean stall speed of one
airplane from 69 knots to 80 knots. A further accretion of 1 1/4
inches increased the stall speed only another 4 knots.
Drag keeps on building up with further accretion, however, and
this is what paints many a pilot into a corner from which there
is no exit. As drag increases with a continual buildup of ice,
the power required to maintain cruise airspeed or even an airspeed
above the stall also increases, to the point that even full throttle
won't do the job. If this happens, the pilot has no choice but
to enter an involuntary descent and hope for the best. Further
aggravating the angle-of-attack/drag issue is the fact that in
icing conditions, the engine probably won't be capable of delivering
rated power. In a carburated engine, carb heat should be on in
icing. But the warm air going into the induction system is less
dense and reduces the engine output. Fuel injected engines with
manual or suck-open alternate air intakes generally draw air from
inside the engine compartment and it too is warmer than ambient,
resulting in somewhat lower power yield. Ice accumulation on
the propeller is no help, either. When these factors are taken
together, even a moderate accumulation on an underpowered airplane
such as Cessna 172 or a Cherokee can soon result in the inability
to hold altitude.
A note on prop de-ice: The theory that a clean prop will haul
around a lot of ice, even if the wings aren't protected by boots,
is a dangerous misconception. Newton's data revealed that power
loss from iced props amounts to about 9 percent, but is rarely
more than 20 percent. The additional power required to move an
iced wing through the air, with its higher drag, may be as much
as 250 percent.
Tailplane Icing
It's long been known that small radius or sharp-edged surfaces
are more efficient collectors of ice than are blunt or large radius
objects, such as the wing's leading edge. That's why the first
place to look for ice is on a sharp-edged projection, such as
an OAT probe or a protruding fuel vent. It's also the reason that
the tailplane's relatively small leading edge may collect ice
twice as fast as the wing. The consequences of this have been
understood only recently, following a spate of accidents in which
tailplane stalls were suspect.
To understand the tailplane stall, recall your private pilot ground
school sessions in which flight mechanics were discussed. The
center of lift of the main wing is such that a stable aircraft
has a natural nosedown tendency. The horizontal stabilizer's job
is to counter this, by exerting downward lift and thus noseup
moment. As does the main wing, the tailplane has angle-of-attack
limitations, but in reverse to those that apply to the wing. This
means that if the tailplane stalls, it essentially stops making
the downward lift needed to counter the nosedown moment. Result:
The aircraft may pitch down uncontrollably.
Knowing that ice effectively lowers the stall angle of attack
on the main wing, it's easy to see how this works on the tail,
too. But since the tail is a more efficient collector of ice,
it may reach the stall angle-of-attack before the wing catches
enough to be a problem to the pilot. In fact, it's conceivable
that the tailplane could have enough ice to stall it, when none
is present on the wings.
Flaps aggravate the problem. In all airplanes, flap deployment
produces downwash that affects the tailplane and elevator. In
some airplanes, this downwash is so pronounced that it produces
a local airflow that changes the tailplane angle of attack substantially.
Ice acts like a stall fence, encouraging the onset of tailplane
stall. Tailplane stalls have gotten a lot of press since 1991,
when NASA and the FAA conducted a conference on the topic of tailplane
icing. Since then, several accidents have been directly linked
to tailplane stalls and, retrospectively, other heretofore unexplained
accidents may also have been the result of tailplane stalls. Most
recently, the NTSB investigated two accidents involving British
Aerospace Jetstream turboprops in which tailplane icing was suspect.
A third Jetsteam accident in December 1993 took place
in icing conditions but, in the final analysis, ice wasn't considered
a factor. Other airplanes, including the ATR 42, Saab SF340A and
Embraer EMB-100 have been the subject of ADs having to do with
tailplane sensitivity in icing conditions.
So much for turboprops. What about the Cherokee and Bonanza crowd?
Are these airplanes as susceptible to the hazards of tailplane
icing as are the turboprops? Do any light airplanes have a particularly
nasty history of tailplane stall incidents and accidents? The
short answer is we don't know. Nothing excuses light singles and
twins from the same aerodynamics that apply to turboprops but
we are unaware of any body of research that shows that any of
the 30 or 40 icing accidents each year are due to tailplane stalls.
Our review of four years' worth of icing accidents (1974-75,
1984-85) revealed that about half were fatal crashes. There's
nothing typical about fatal icing accidents, other than a pilot
encountering more ice than he or the airplane could handle. Most
of the fatals do result in uncontrolled flight into terrain but
who can say if these were the result of tailplane stalls, wing
stalls and spins or some other factor? Unless the pilot survives
to tell the tale, accident investigators don't have a lot to go
on and they're generally reluctant to speculate.
Not too surprisingly, a twin is more likely to make it to a runway
after a severe icing incident than a single is. But once over
the threshold, a landing hard enough to damage the airplane is
often the result. Many of these pilots reported being unable to
flare, even to the extent of pitching to a level attitude. Lack
of noseup pitch authority or very heavy elevator forces are consistent
with a tailplane stall. But again, given the paucity of data in
the accident reports, that's but an informed guess.
Approach and Landing
So how do you translate these aerodynamic basics into a survival
strategy for approach and landing? The important thing to remember
is this: With ice on an airframe never certified to fly in it,
you really are a test pilot.
First, I'll assume you've accumulated ice and, rather than trying
to get out of it, you've decided to divert and land ASAP. That's
usually a good choice and one that should be made sooner rather
than later. The longer you wait, the fewer options you'll have.
If you even suspect a diversion may be necessary, start planning
for it and have plates at the ready. Know what the weather is
along the route and keep up with it by listening to ATIS reports
and/or checking with FSS regularly. (While you're at it, pass
along any icing — or lack thereof — pireps for your fellow pilots.)
Tell the controller right away what your plans are. If the controller
asks "are you declaring an emergency?" think very hard
about your answer. By declaring, you'll be given priority and
you'll get out of the ice that much sooner. If you decline, the
controller will handle you first-come, first-serve, and that may
mean a roundabout vector and more ice. As we've said so many times
before, it's a myth that declaring an emergency results in a lot
of paperwork or regulatory hassles.
If you have a choice, pick an airport with a good approach, preferably
an ILS with approach lighting. Having accurate course and vertical
guidance will be a real help, especially if the windshield is
iced over and difficult to see through. Furthermore, an ILS runway
will usually be 5000 feet or longer, enough length to land with
minimum or no flaps, which is the recommended procedure.
As far as descending for the approach is concerned, that will
take some judgment and what you want to do may not square exactly
with how ATC wants to run the program. Depending on how the airspace
is set up, the controller's normal procedure might descend you
to 2000 AGL on a vector 10 or 12 miles from the airport. But if
the ice is still building and the freezing level is right to the
surface, maybe you shouldn't give away that altitude so far out.
This is doubly true if you can barely hold altitude going into
the approach in the first place. Consider joining the approach
higher than normal and descending on or slightly above the glideslope,
in a steady, controlled descent with power on. In any case, even
if you're visual, don't execute a long, dragged in approach with
periodic level-offs. You may find out too late that you don't
have the power to arrest the descent.
On the other hand, don't try or accept a slam dunk. A brisk descent
through an ice-bearing layer is one thing, but a banshee dive
for a lower altitude invites an abrupt pull out and increases
the chances of descending right through the MDA. That's apparently
what did in the crew of the Express II Jetstream in Hibbing, Minnesota
in December, 1993.
Speed and Configuration
How fast to fly the approach? Those with expertise in the field
may not agree on the exact numbers but everyone agrees on this:
fly it faster than normal. Dennis Newton recommends a 20 percent
increase, my own guideline is 10 to 20 knots faster. Even with
a tiny coating of ice, you won't know what the stall speed is
but if you fly the approach normally, you may learn the hard way
that it's much higher than you imagined.
If 20 knots extra is good, won't 40 knots be better? Perhaps not,
for two reasons: First, you've got to land out of that approach.
Crossing the threshold 40 or 50 knots fast with flaps up will
eat up a lot of runway. And if there's ice on the airplane, the
runway may be icy, too, or at least wet, further complicating
your ability to stop. Second point: The higher the speed, the
greater the risk of a tailplane stall. At the higher speed, the
main wing angle of attack is lower, meaning the tailplane will
have a higher negative angle-of-attack. And like the main wing,
if the tailplane has ice on it, it will stall at a higher angle
of attack.
As for flaps, again no universal recommendations, other than using
full flaps is a bad idea. Full flaps aggravate the tailplane stall
situation and they may require a much larger pitch moment to round
out and flare for landing. Besides, if you really don't need them,
they're just another surface to collect ice. Very few singles
are certified for known icing, so chances are the manufacturer
won't have flown the aircraft with iced wings in any configuration.
You're on your own.
Newton cautions against using any flap setting you haven't first
tried with some altitude beneath you. Since it may not be convenient
to conduct any testing while in an icy stratus layer, that might
mean landing with no flaps. So be it. There aren't many singles
that you can't land safely with no flaps and this probably applies
to a lot of piston twins, too. Next time you're practicing approaches,
add flapless landings to your routine, so you'll know what to
expect. Aircraft that are icing certified may or may not have
flap recommendations. If yours does, follow the book. If it doesn't,
use no flaps or no more than half flaps. Gear can be extended
normally, unless you're worried that extending it too soon will
produce an unarrestable descent rate. If that's the case, you'll
have a difficult choice. Extend it and hope you make the runway
before settling short or leave it in the wheels until crossing
the threshold or simply plan to land gear up. That may be a better
choice than plowing into the approach lights short of the runway.
The Home Stretch
Our review of icing accidents showed that quite a few airplanes,
especially twins, make it over the threshold safely, only to suffer
damage as the result of a hard landing. As I said, this could
be due to tailplane stalls, wing stalls or failure to see well
enough through an iced windshield to arrest the approach descent.
To avoid this, keep the power on and the airspeed up right across
the threshold to the runway. Fly the airplane onto the runway
with only enough roundout to arrest the descent. Don't worry about
a two-point touchdown, a greaser or, least of all, a full-stall
landing. Flying an airplane onto the runway with no flaps will
feel fast but if you maintain directional control while you decelerate,
you should have plenty of room to stop.
If you go visual well out from the airport, pick the longest runway,
wind permitting. But be very, very careful about circling close
in. With iced wings and a higher stall speed, even a moderately
banked turn could stall one wing, resulting in loss of control
at low altitude. Keep the turns shallow.
As you plan your flights this winter, remember that icing is rarely
a bolt-from-the-blue surprise. It's forecast more often than it's
present but when it is there, it's usually expected. An inadvertent
encounter with ice needn't been the gut-wrenching terror we imagine
it to be. Just have a plan of attack and be ready to exercise
it and you'll come out just fine.
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